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How important is long-distance travel in the spread of epidemics?

The current shows how quickly diseases can spread with global jet travel.

Yet knowing how to predict the spread of these is still uncertain, because the complicated models used are not fully understood, says a biophysicist.

[How important is long-distance travel in the spread of epidemics?]
When long-distance travel is rare, epidemics spread like a slow, rippling wave, as demonstrated by the simulation (left) and the actual historical spread of the black death during the Middle Ages.
Credit: Images courtesy of and D. Sherman and J. Salisbury


The work was supported by the Simons Foundation and QB3, as well as grants from Germany’s Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft and the U.S. National Science Foundation.

University of California – Berkeley